Pulse

Saturday, 12 May 2012

  • At First Glance, Thought this was a Movie

    As I was surfing the net, I hit a link that looked like an independent film: http://bit.ly/JrEc7m

     

    However, as I looked more closely, then I realized it wasn't a movie, but something far more creative and original.

     

    I was impressed and irritated at the same time. Impressed at the amount of time and creativity that went into it, but annoyed thinking how this will make anything I do in that department look so.....average.....bummed

     

    There should be a law against doing things that make the rest of us guys look bad...haha! laughing

     

     

Friday, 11 May 2012

  • Rediscovering Stock Options

    I used to have a love/hate relationship with options. Some of my biggest gains of all time came from options but likewise some of my larger losses as well.

    For market newbies, stock options are basically derivatives based on the current price of a particular stock. "Call" options give you the right to buy a stock at a certain price for a fixed amount of time while "Put" options give you the right to sell a stock at a certain price, also for a fixed amount of time.

    Example:

    You're interested in IBM and the current price is $200. You could buy a call option that lets you buy IBM at $205 a share. So if IBM moves up higher than $205, your option will start making money since you can still buy the stock at the lower price of $205.

    Options are less expensive than buying the stock outright, so that's a positive. Another positive is your risk is limited to the purchase price of the option versus the full value of the stock. At $200, owning 100 shares of IBM would cost $20K and that would be the amount at risk is IBM should tank. The same $200 option might cost only $350 for a 1 month expiration. If IBM should have a disastrous earnings announcement, you are only out $350 while the stock owner could be out much much more.

    The biggest negative with options is that if the stock doesn't move as you intended, they could expire worthless. Another annoying negative is the bid and ask difference is usually much wider, which will cost you a bit in in transaction costs than you'd pay trading stocks.

    But overall, there are ways to use options that will allow you to enjoy profits if the stock moves in your anticipated direction while limiting your risk, which is the best of both worlds. Now that my timing has considerably improved,  I see potentially big benefits incorporating options into my trading strategies.


    Last week, Green Mountain Coffee had a bad earnings report and dropped 25 points after hours. I saw the following message from a trader on Stocktwits:

     

    " I was long 1200 share tonight. I feel like throwing up in my trash can in my office. Over $24K out the window!"

     

    Proper use of options would help one avoid experiencing such a nauseating fate.

     

    This also shows how day trading is LESS risky than holding overnight.

     

     

Thursday, 10 May 2012

  • JP Morgan Reveals "Oopsie" with $2 Billion Trading Loss

    I can tell you first hand that trading is more about risk management than it is about getting wealthy. That's because all it takes is one horrible trade that is horribly managed to wipe you out. One can't make money if one loses their account. Survival as a priority is paramount for long term success.

    Trading isn't rocket science, but it can be difficult at times, even for the professionals.

    Case in point is JPM, which has disclosed today that they are facing BIG losses this quarter due to trades gone bad:

    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/jp-morgan-reveals-surprise-2-billion-trade-loss-2012-05-10

     

    Now the key thing here to understand is a BANK has lost $2 Billion in trading in their OWN ACCOUNT. That is no small amount of moolah and many hedge funds and banks have been destroyed for far less.

    JPM may try to downplay it by saying it can handle the losses, but that's really irrelevant. In the age of "Post 2008 Banking Crisis" where the big banks had to be "bailed out" with Fed and taxpayer money, how is this even possible, or allowed to happen?

    A bank is NOT supposed to be a high risk business entity since they have such a critical place in the economy. They should be excelling in the areas of risk management on the conservative side. JPM's huge loss shows this is clearly not the case.

    There is a clear conflict of interest in letting a bank trade its own account since it places more temptations for the bank to engage in higher risk behavior to pursue greater returns.

    That this can STILL happen 4 years after the worst financial crisis to hit the US economy since the Great Depression means Congress has once again been ineffective in passing legislation to curb this excess. The reason for that is simple- most politicians are getting heavy donations from Wall Street so they gear toward representing them as opposed to the citizens who voted for them.

    The real tragedy is most people find economic news boring and will largely ignore this when they should be demanding more from their representative.

    People would rather fight less meaningful little battles over liberal/conservative, republican/democrat, capitalist/socialist arguments because they are easier to understand and rally for or against.

     

  • Stock Nemesis Salesforce (CRM) Finally Tanks- Timberrrrrr!

    CRM, a stock I shorted way too soon that has caused me nothing but problems by its rocket moves upward during the last few months has finally seen a major down day today, closing the day down about 15 points including after hours trades. The stock actually began its descent back to earth last week, but the moves have been steeper and more dramatic this week.

    As a hint to how bad this trade was, despite plunging more than 25 points since last week, I'm still in the red...doh! I'll need a few more down days before I'm in the profit zone. It is nice however, to see the money that was allocated out to support the big move against my position rushing back into my account.

    The other short position thorn in my trading side, Amazon (AMZN), has proven to be more elusive and was still moving up today, but its movement suggests it's tired and will soon be falling as well.

    This is turning out to be a good lesson in market timing on the daily charts rather than the intraday charts- although so far the lesson has been more focused on what NOT to do....haha.

     

     

SoullFire

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    • Name: SoullFire
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    • Member Since: 12/4/2005
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About Me

  • Investing/Trading info to make $$$. My preeminent goal is to make enough money through investing/trading stocks so my corporate job becomes optional. I figured this would be a good place to write on how I'm doing. How cool would that be- not having to live the grind and go to the office every day! I also discuss the latest news in finance. You can call me a hobby economist.